Match Info

3rd Division - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Lyseng Idraetspark (Aarhus)


	Lyseng		Holstebro

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.45
	2.5	3.4	2.37
	2.75	3.62	2.25
				Watch
	2.66	3.64	2.39
	2.5	3.4	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.37)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)	2.37 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyseng
35.4%

Draw
26.2%

Holstebro
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.6%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

27.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyseng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Holstebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyseng than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstebro than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Lyseng - Holstebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyseng won 2.

Lyseng has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Holstebro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lyseng won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 2.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyseng won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Lyseng - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 37.8%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Lyseng
Danish 3 Division
25.05.25	Avarta - Lyseng	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Lyseng - Young Boys FD	3:1 ✺
14.05.25	FA 2000 - Lyseng	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Holstebro - Lyseng	3:3 ✺
03.05.25	Lyseng - Sundby	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLTT
- Holstebro BK
Danish 3 Division
24.05.25	Holstebro - Sundby	4:1 ✺
17.05.25	Avarta - Holstebro	2:5 ✺
14.05.25	Young Boys FD - Holstebro	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Holstebro - Lyseng	3:3 ✺
03.05.25	Holstebro - Avarta	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
10.05.25	Holstebro - Lyseng	3:3
06.04.25	Holstebro - Lyseng	0:1
24.08.24	Lyseng - Holstebro	1:3
01.06.24	Lyseng - Holstebro	1:2
14.04.24	Holstebro - Lyseng	2:3
09.03.24	Lyseng - Holstebro	3:2
03.09.23	Holstebro - Lyseng	1:3

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