Match Info

3rd Division - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Holstebro		Avarta

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.7
	2.1	3.5	2.85
	2.17	3.56	2.92
	2.19	3.76	2.88
	2.1	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.27)	3.56 ↓ (3.68)	2.84 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstebro
42.6%

Draw
25.5%

Avarta
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

24.4%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

23.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Avarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstebro than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avarta than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avarta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holstebro - Avarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, ⚽,
37', 3 - 1, ⚽,
42', 4 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
80', 5 - 1, ⚽,
81', 5 - 2, ⚽,
84', 5 - 3, ⚽,
87', 6 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Holstebro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Avarta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Holstebro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstebro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstebro BK
Danish 3 Division
26.04.25	Sundby - Holstebro	0:3 ✺
19.04.25	Holstebro - FA 2000	0:6 ✺
12.04.25	Holbæk - Holstebro	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Holstebro - Lyseng	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Holstebro - Brønshøj BK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLLW
- Avarta
Danish 3 Division
26.04.25	Avarta - FA 2000	0:1 ✺
21.04.25	Lyseng - Avarta	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Næsby - Avarta	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Avarta - Brabrand	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Lyseng - Avarta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
10.11.24	Avarta - Holstebro	2:1
31.08.24	Holstebro - Avarta	0:1
21.10.23	Holstebro - Avarta	1:1
13.08.23	Avarta - Holstebro	0:3

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