Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 9

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday


	Lödde		Karlshamn

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.55
	2.29	3.58	2.49
	2.29	3.58	2.49
	2.33	3.46	2.57
	2.4	3.6	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)	3.56 ↓ (3.75)	2.53 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lödde
38.7%

Draw
25.4%

Karlshamn
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

23%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lödde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Karlshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lödde than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlshamn than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlshamn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lödde - Karlshamn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Ivarsson J. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Hakansson S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).

Lödde is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Karlshamn is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lödde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Lödde
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
17.05.24	IFK Hässleholm - Lödde	0:0 ✺
11.05.24	Lödde - Simrishamn	2:3 ✺
03.05.24	Balkan - Lödde	2:0 ✺
27.04.24	Lödde - Räppe GoIF	1:1 ✺
19.04.24	Nosaby - Lödde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLTL
- IFK Karlshamn
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
17.05.24	Karlshamn - Karlskrona	2:1 ✺
10.05.24	Hässleholm - Karlshamn	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Karlshamn - Österlen	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Högaborgs - Karlshamn	0:2 ✺
21.04.24	Karlshamn - Berga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLLWW

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