Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	Lüneburger Hansa		St. Pauli II

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.37
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.7	3.25	2.42
	2.98	3.37	2.32
	3.02	3.22	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.4)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	2.4 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lüneburger Hansa
33.3%

Draw
28.2%

St. Pauli II
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.1%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lüneburger Hansa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lüneburger Hansa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Lüneburger Hansa - St. Pauli II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lüneburger Hansa won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Lüneburger Hansa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently St. Pauli II have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Lüneburger Hansa won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Lüneburger Hansa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lüneburger Hansa
German Regionalliga North
07.05.22	Drochtersen Assel - Lüneburger Hansa	0:1 ✺
01.05.22	Lüneburger Hansa - Altona	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Heider SV - Lüneburger Hansa	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Phönix Lübeck - Lüneburger Hansa	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Lüneburger Hansa - Eintracht Norderstedt	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWLT
- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
08.05.22	St. Pauli II - Hannoverscher SC	4:1 ✺
24.04.22	St. Pauli II - Oberneuland	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	St. Pauli II - Jeddeloh	0:0 ✺
02.04.22	Schwarz-Weiß Rehden - St. Pauli II	5:0 ✺
27.03.22	St. Pauli II - Lüneburger Hansa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
27.03.22	St. Pauli II - Lüneburger Hansa	4:0
23.09.20	Lüneburger Hansa - St. Pauli II	3:1
15.09.19	St. Pauli II - Lüneburger Hansa	0:1
11.11.18	Lüneburger Hansa - St. Pauli II	3:0
29.07.18	St. Pauli II - Lüneburger Hansa	2:2
21.04.18	Lüneburger Hansa - St. Pauli II	2:0
22.10.17	St. Pauli II - Lüneburger Hansa	1:1

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