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Málaga - Levante

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 4
  • Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished
  • Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga) 🌤️ ...
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • CountryKick-OffTV Channels
    AfricaAfrica—Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 4, Sporty TV
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    AustriaAustria18:30Laola1
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    Bosnia And HerzegovinaBosnia And Herzegovina18:30Arena Sport 7
    BulgariaBulgaria19:30Max Sport 4
    CanadaCanada12:30fubo Sports Network
    ColombiaColombia11:30ESPN 4
    CroatiaCroatia18:30SportKlub 3
    Czech RepublicCzech Republic18:30Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
    DenmarkDenmark18:30Disney+
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    FinlandFinland19:30Disney+
    FranceFrance18:30DAZN France, Disney+
    GermanyGermany18:30DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
    GreeceGreece19:30COSMOTE Sport 7
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    IndiaIndia22:00FanCode, FanCode
    ItalyItaly18:30DAZN Italia
    JapanJapan01:30DAZN Japan
    KazakhstanKazakhstan22:30Setanta Sports
    KosovoKosovo18:30ART Sport 2
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    MexicoMexico10:30Sky Sport
    NorwayNorway18:30TV2 Play, Viaplay
    ParaguayParaguay12:30ESPN 4
    PeruPeru11:30Disney+, ESPN 4
    PortugalPortugal17:30DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
    RomaniaRomania19:30Prima Sport PPV 1
    RussiaRussia19:30MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
    SerbiaSerbia18:30Arena Sport 1
    SlovakiaSlovakia18:30Nova Sport 5, Voyo
    SloveniaSlovenia18:30SportKlub 3
    SpainSpain18:30M+ LaLiga
    SwedenSweden18:30Disney+
    TurkeyTurkey19:30S Sport+
    UkraineUkraine19:30MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
    United KingdomUnited Kingdom17:30Premier Sports Player
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    UsaUsa12:30ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
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    Málaga Levante
    Málaga Levante
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.42 ↑
    (2.24)    		 3.31 ↑
    (3.2)    		 3.02 ↓
    (3.42)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Málaga
    39.5%    		Draw
    28.8%    		Levante
    31.6%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    42.5% 29.7% 27.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    42.7% 29.6% 27.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    38.1% 42.9% 19%

    Málaga - Levante Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Levante will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 64.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Málaga (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Levante (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 2 - 40%). Levante (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainHerrero A. (C)
    31. SpainRafita
    15. SpainRecio A.
      4. SpainGalilea E.
    12. SpainSalinas J.
    22. SpainLorenzo D.
    18. SpainMartinez P.
    10. SpainLarrubia D.
      8. SpainDotor C.
    19. SpainCruz J.
      9. SpainChupe
    		13. AustraliaRyan M. (G)
    29. SpainPerez N.
      4. SpainDela
      2. AlgeriaMandi A.
    23. SpainSanchez M.
    18. FranceBardeli E.
    20. SpainRey O.
      8. SpainOlasagasti J. A.
      7. SpainBrugue R. (C)
      9. SpainRomero I.
    24. ArgentinaFernandez T.
    Substitutes
    39. MoroccoAznou A.
    25. SpainBerrocal J.
      2. SwedenCajuste J.
      6. SpainEnriquez R.
    17. SpainJauregi E.
    13. SpainLopez C. (G)
    23. SpainMerino I.
    11. SpainMunoz J.
      5. SpainPastor A.
      3. SpainPuga C.
    14. SpainRodriguez R.
    		14. SpainCabello J.
    27. SpainCortes P.
      1. SpainCunat P. (G)
    17. SpainGarcia V.
    11. BelgiumMusuayi Y.
      3. AustriaNdukwe I.
    10. SerbiaRatkov P.
      6. SpainRequena D.
    33. SpainSantos M.
      5. SpainSotelo H.
    16. FranceTape A.
    22. GermanyToljan J.
    Coaches
         SpainFunes J.
    		     PortugalCastro L.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 9', Chupe (Penalty Awarded),
    • 25', Lorenzo D. 🟨,
    • 34', Rafita 🟨,
    • 45+1', Martinez P. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 59', Martinez P. ↓, Merino I. ↑,
    • 59', Cruz J. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
    • 60', Romero I. ↓, Musuayi Y. ↑,
    • 67', Rafita ↓, Puga C. ↑,
    • 67', Lorenzo D. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
    • 70', Dela 🟨,
    • 77', Bardeli E. ↓, Sotelo H. ↑,
    • 77', Perez N. ↓, Toljan J. ↑,
    • 77', Fernandez T. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
    • 86', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Requena D. ↑,
    • 86', Dotor C. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
    • 90+2', Puga C. 🟨,
    • 90+5', Mandi A. 🟨,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 0.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Levante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
  • There will not play in Málaga: Calero F. (Ribs Injury) Diarra M. (Calf Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Murillo D. (Injury) Ochoa A. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Levante: Etta Eyong K. (Injury) Primo A. (Shoulder Injury)
  • There are questionable in Málaga: Nino A. (Injury)
  • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.1:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Málaga won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.2:0.3).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    14Levante1024416:19-310
    20Malaga100557:19-125

    Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Levante: 0.12% Malaga: 0.09%
    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Málaga CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.08.26 Real Madrid - Málaga 4:0 ✺
    24.08.26 Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña 1:1 ✺
    19.08.26 Atlético Madrid - Málaga 2:0 ✺
    Club Friendly
    12.08.26 Málaga - Fulham 2:2 ✺
    06.08.26 Málaga - Al-Arabi Doha 4:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7
    LTLTW
    - Levante UD
    Spanish LaLiga
    29.08.26 Levante - Betis 5:2 ✺
    24.08.26 Osasuna - Levante 0:0 ✺
    16.08.26 Espanyol - Levante 3:0 ✺
    Club Friendly
    05.08.26 Villarreal - Levante 1:0 ✺
    01.08.26 Levante - Albacete Balompié 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1
    WTLLW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga2
    08.02.25 Málaga - Levante 1:1
    27.11.24 Levante - Málaga 4:2
    17.03.23 Málaga - Levante 0:0
    04.12.22 Levante - Málaga 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga
    19.04.18 Levante - Málaga 1:0
    01.12.17 Málaga - Levante 0:0
    02.05.16 Málaga - Levante 3:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Málaga CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    31.10.26 Betis - Málaga ✺
    - Levante UD
    Spanish Copa del Rey
    05.11.26 Tarancón - Levante ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    31.10.26 Levante - Atlético Madrid ✺

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