Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.1	3.05	3.3
	2.12	3	3.25
	2.18	3.1	3.52
	2.15	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.32)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)	3.33 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
42.6%

Draw
30.1%

Bergantiños
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

21.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergantiños could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles URJC - Bergantiños Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bergantiños could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Móstoles URJC will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Móstoles URJC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.02.22	Leganés B - Móstoles URJC	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Palencia CA - Móstoles URJC	2:0 ✺
06.02.22	Móstoles URJC - Compostela	2:1 ✺
30.01.22	Pontevedra - Móstoles URJC	4:1 ✺
23.01.22	Móstoles URJC - Salamanca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLW
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.02.22	Bergantiños - Compostela	3:2 ✺
13.02.22	Pontevedra - Bergantiños	0:1 ✺
29.01.22	Ceares - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Bergantiños - Langreo	0:1 ✺
08.01.22	Bergantiños - Arosa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.10.21	Bergantiños - Móstoles URJC	2:1

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