Match Info

Copa Federacion - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Bergantiños		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.25	2.08
	2.97	3.1	2.16
	3.09	2.52	2.77	Watch
	3.19	3.26	2.09
	3.35	3.3	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (3.22)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	2.22 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bergantiños
29.2%

Draw
29.6%

Ourense CF
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

27.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.8%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+2%)

Bergantiños - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Bouzaig A. ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, Bouzaig A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 1.

Bergantiños is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ourense CF has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ourense CF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bergantiños won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Bergantiños - Numancia	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Bergantiños - Estradense	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.09.25	Real Ávila - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWLW
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.25	Ourense CF - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Tenerife - Ourense CF	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Ourense CF - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Laredo - Ourense CF	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.04.23	Ourense CF - Bergantiños	1:0
19.11.22	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
19.01.20	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	0:3
25.08.19	Ourense CF - Bergantiños	3:0
13.04.19	Ourense CF - Bergantiños	1:0
17.11.18	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	1:0

Upcoming Matches