Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Carabanchel

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.35	4.13
	1.99	3.10	3.91	Watch
	1.86	3.32	3.85
	1.97	3.42	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	3.81 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
48%

Draw
27.9%

Carabanchel
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Sanchez V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Móstoles is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Carabanchel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Móstoles will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Móstoles URJC - Racing Madrid	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Las Rozas - Móstoles URJC	2:4 ✺
14.09.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWWL
- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.10.25	Carabanchel - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Racing Madrid - Carabanchel	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Carabanchel - Las Rozas	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Unión Adarve - Carabanchel	3:3 ✺
14.09.25	Carabanchel - Villaverde San Andrés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.02.21	Carabanchel - Móstoles URJC	0:1
22.11.20	Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel	2:0
15.12.19	Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel	1:0
27.01.19	Carabanchel - Móstoles URJC	0:0

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