Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 28

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Getafe B

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.7
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	2.55	3	2.65
	2.55	3.04	2.72
	2.55	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.25)	3.03 ↓ (3.25)	2.57 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
34.7%

Draw
30%

Getafe B
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Móstoles URJC's performance.

Getafe B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Getafe B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Móstoles URJC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe B than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Getafe B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Móstoles URJC - Getafe B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, Guerrero F. ⚽,
71', 2 - 0, Castro A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Móstoles won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Getafe B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Móstoles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.7:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Móstoles won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.03.25	Navalcarnero - Móstoles URJC	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	Móstoles URJC - Coria	1:3 ✺
02.03.25	Illescas - Móstoles URJC	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Conquense	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LLWLW
- Getafe B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.03.25	Tenerife B - Getafe B	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	Getafe B - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Coria - Getafe B	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Getafe B - Illescas	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Conquense - Getafe B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.11.24	Getafe B - Móstoles URJC	4:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.02.23	Getafe B - Móstoles URJC	1:3
23.10.22	Móstoles URJC - Getafe B	0:1
16.12.18	Getafe B - Móstoles URJC	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Getafe B - Móstoles URJC	1:0
01.10.17	Móstoles URJC - Getafe B	1:3

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