Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 25

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Illescas		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	1.87	3	3.9
	1.91	3.16	4.33
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)	3.08 ↓ (3.23)	4.12 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illescas
48.2%

Draw
29.6%

Móstoles URJC
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

28.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

30.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illescas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Illescas - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Garci ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Garci ⚽,
59', 0 - 3, Castro A. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Illescas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Móstoles is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Illescas is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Móstoles to win the game is with odds 4.19.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Illescas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.02.25	Getafe B - Illescas	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Illescas - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Coria - Illescas	4:3 ✺
02.02.25	Tenerife B - Illescas	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Illescas - Conquense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Conquense	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Real Madrid C - Móstoles URJC	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.10.24	Móstoles URJC - Illescas	0:1

Illescas - Móstoles URJC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide