Match Info

Date: 21 January 2022, Friday


	MC Alger		Chelghoum

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	6.75
	1.42	3.8	7
	1.4	3.8	7.4
	1.4	4.1	9.44
	1.4	3.7	8.5
	1.4	3.95	8.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	3.88 ↓ (4)	7.9 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MC Alger
64.9%

Draw
23.6%

Chelghoum
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

13.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MC Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Chelghoum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MC Alger than the current prediction. (-27.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MC Alger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelghoum than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelghoum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MC Alger - Chelghoum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification) and 13).

MC Alger is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Chelghoum is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

MC Alger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match MC Alger is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MC Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
16.01.22	USM Alger - MC Alger	1:1 ✺
11.01.22	MC Alger - Paradou	1:0 ✺
07.01.22	MC Alger - Biskra	1:1 ✺
02.01.22	Saoura - MC Alger	0:0 ✺
28.12.21	MC Alger - Arbaâ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTTW
- HB Chelghoum Laïd
Algerian Ligue 1
15.01.22	Chelghoum - Tlemcen	3:1 ✺
08.01.22	Magra - Chelghoum	2:0 ✺
02.01.22	Chelghoum - Belouizdad	0:0 ✺
28.12.21	Oran - Chelghoum	2:2 ✺
24.12.21	Chelghoum - ASO Chlef	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLTTW

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