Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Košická futbalová aréna (Košice)

Referee: Tschudi L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	STVR2, Voyo


	MFK Košice		Neman Grodno

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.2	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.21	3.23	3.1
	1.48	4.13	6.52	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.31	3.31	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.67)	3.3 ↓ (3.74)	3.63 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MFK Košice
44.9%

Draw
28.9%

Neman Grodno
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

26.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MFK Košice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MFK Košice's form might have worsened.

Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neman Grodno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MFK Košice than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MFK Košice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neman Grodno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	20%	33.3%

MFK Košice - Neman Grodno Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Košice will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Neman will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Košice: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Košice (votes: 1 - 20%). Neman (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Košice (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Košice (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Košice (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Neman (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sipos D. (G) 5. Jakubko J. 20. Krivak J. (C) 24. Kruzliak D. 21. Magda D. 25. Zsigmund M. 8. Gallovic D. 9. Cerepkai R. 23. Madlenak M. 27. Miljanic K. 87. Perisic V.	12. Belov M. (G) 19. Kuchinskiy K. 20. Sadovnichiy I. (C) 5. Parkhomenko E. 27. Shamurzaev A. 47. Kozlov M. 24. Yakimov A. 9. Pushnyakov S. 17. Zubovich E. 71. Suchkov A. 88. Savitskiy P.
Substitutes
7. Dimun M. 16. Domik M. 19. Goljan A. 10. Jones Z. 29. Kakay O. 22. Kira M. (G) 31. Metu E. 2. Palacin E. 6. Pejazic M. 77. Rehus M. 15. Sovic M. 90. Vesely D.	15. Evdokimov O. 11. Gavrilov Y. 18. Kravtsov M. 46. Legchilin A. 1. Malievskiy A. (G) 6. Nazarenko A. 33. Ngoma I. 8. Pantya Y. 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 22. Robak N. (G) 50. Shalashnikov A.
Coaches
Skuhravy R.	Kovalevich I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Miljanic K. ⚽, Perisic V. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Cerepkai R. ⚽, Jakubko J. (A),
37', Zubovich E. 🟨,
42', Gallovic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Zubovich E. ↓, Evdokimov O. ↑,
46', Yakimov A. ↓, Nazarenko A. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Savitskiy P. ⚽, Suchkov A. (A),
63', Perisic V. ↓, Dimun M. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Savitskiy P. ⚽,
66', Suchkov A. ↓, Pantya Y. ↑,
70', Savitskiy P. ↓, Kravtsov M. ↑,
77', Miljanic K. ↓, Jones Z. ↑,
77', Magda D. ↓, Kakay O. ↑,
77', Kuchinskiy K. ↓, Pavlyukovets Y. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Kravtsov M. (Pen),
87', Cerepkai R. ↓, Goljan A. ↑,
87', Zsigmund M. ↓, Sovic M. ↑,
90+4', Kruzliak D. (Pen),

Preview

1st leg.

MFK Košice is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Neman is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

MFK Košice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, MFK Košice has had a series of away games.

MFK Košice will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Košice
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Diósgyőri - MFK Košice	1:1 ✺
04.07.25	Ujpest - MFK Košice	1:0 ✺
27.06.25	Śląsk Wrocław - MFK Košice	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	GKS Katowice - MFK Košice	3:0 ✺
21.06.25	Zagłębie Lubin - MFK Košice	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- FC Neman Grodno
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Neman Grodno - Urartu Yerevan	4:0 ✺
10.07.25	Urartu Yerevan - Neman Grodno	1:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
04.07.25	Neman Grodno - Isloch Minsk	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Vitebsk - Neman Grodno	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Neman Grodno - Minsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWTW

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