Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Urartu Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	1TV


	Urartu Yerevan		Neman Grodno

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.65
	2.3	3.25	3	Watch
	2.21	3.33	3.05
				Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.4	3.3	2.94	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.2)	3.21 ↑ (3.15)	2.86 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urartu Yerevan
39.4%

Draw
28.6%

Neman Grodno
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urartu Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	36.8%	31.6%

Urartu Yerevan - Neman Grodno Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Urartu will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Neman will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urartu: 11.5% – 55.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Urartu (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Neman (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Neman (1.63) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Urartu (1.63) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Urartu (1.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Urartu (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Neman (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matinyan G. (G) 88. Margaryan Z. (C) 44. Tsymbalyuk Y. 55. Simonyan E. 3. Piloyan E. 8. Aghasaryan N. 30. Bruno Michel 14. Polyarus A. 9. Palienko M. 90. Polyakov O. 11. Yakovlev V.	12. Belov M. (G) 19. Kuchinskiy K. 20. Sadovnichiy I. (C) 5. Parkhomenko E. 27. Shamurzaev A. 47. Kozlov M. 24. Yakimov A. 15. Evdokimov O. 88. Savitskiy P. 71. Suchkov A. 17. Zubovich E.
Substitutes
99. Ayvazyan K. 18. Bratkov A. 52. Dadamyan Z. 33. Dragojevic A. (G) 4. Ghazaryan A. 2. Gunko A. 53. Harutyunyan D. 23. Kaloukian N. 10. Melkonyan K. 22. Mirzoyan M. 7. Mkrtchyan S. 42. Nazaretyan N. (G)	11. Gavrilov Y. 18. Kravtsov M. 46. Legchilin A. 1. Malievskiy A. (G) 6. Nazarenko A. 8. Pantya Y. 32. Pavlyukovets Y. 9. Pushnyakov S. 22. Robak N. (G) 50. Shalashnikov A.
Coaches
Arzumanyan R.	Kovalevich I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Suchkov A. 🟨,
19', Evdokimov O. 🟨,
24', Piloyan E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Savitskiy P. (Pen),
49', 0 - 1, Suchkov A. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Savitskiy P. ⚽,
57', Polyakov O. ↓, Gunko A. ↑,
57', Palienko M. ↓, Melkonyan K. ↑,
58', Polyarus A. ↓, Kaloukian N. ↑,
66', Suchkov A. ↓, Pantya Y. ↑,
66', Savitskiy P. ↓, Kravtsov M. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Kaloukian N. ⚽, Gunko A. (A),
70', Zubovich E. 🟨,
71', Kuchinskiy K. ↓, Pavlyukovets Y. ↑,
71', Zubovich E. ↓, Nazarenko A. ↑,
71', Piloyan E. ↓, Mirzoyan M. ↑,
75', Nazarenko A. 🟨,
80', Shamurzaev A. ↓, Legchilin A. ↑,
86', Bruno Michel ↓, Harutyunyan D. ↑,
90+3', Matinyan G. 🟨,
90+4', Matinyan G. 🟥,
90+4', Kozlov M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Neman is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neman may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Urartu Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
28.05.25	Urartu Yerevan - Van	0:2 ✺
24.05.25	Ararat - Urartu Yerevan	2:4 ✺
18.05.25	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	3:3 ✺
11.05.25	BKMA Yerevan - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Urartu Yerevan - West Armenia	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTWW
- FC Neman Grodno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
04.07.25	Neman Grodno - Isloch Minsk	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Vitebsk - Neman Grodno	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Neman Grodno - Minsk	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Dinamo Minsk - Neman Grodno	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	BATE Borisov - Neman Grodno	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWW

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