Match Info

CPL - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Old Stadium (Phnom Penh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cambodia	BTV New


	MOI Kompong Dewa		Dangkor Senchey

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.45	2.25
	2.6	3.45	2.31
	2.62	3.48	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.12)	3.46 ↓ (3.7)	2.27 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MOI Kompong Dewa
34.4%

Draw
26%

Dangkor Senchey
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

24.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

23.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MOI Kompong Dewa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MOI Kompong Dewa's form might have worsened.

Dangkor Senchey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dangkor Senchey's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOI Kompong Dewa than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MOI Kompong Dewa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dangkor Senchey than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dangkor Senchey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MOI Kompong Dewa - Dangkor Senchey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Dida (G) 6. Chan S. 66. Dy P. 3. Mateus Barbosa (C) 54. Mon V. 9. Patrick Nonato 4. Ricardo Lima 23. San B. 10. San K. 12. Sri P. 65. Vong V.	22. Ly K. (G) 99. Bruno Ernandes 7. Hav S. 3. Keo S. 11. Long D. 10. Onda Sonosuke (C) 20. Rodrigues J. 18. Sam Ol T. 2. Sek C. 19. Soun M. 16. Ya M.
Substitutes
22. Chhoeurng L. (G) 24. Keo O. 1. Kim C. (G) 14. Ky R. 15. Lo R. 2. Noy S. 27. Pen S. 18. San S. 91. Soun S. 13. Widiyanto L.	17. Chinonso N. E. 55. Gabriel Silva 29. Morn B. 1. Neang P. (G) 24. Ouk S. E. 45. Phem T. 15. Phork S. 5. Samura U. 12. Sonn T. 8. Un S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Long D. ↓, Morn B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ricardo Lima 🟨,
57', Ricardo Lima 🟥,
59', Soun M. ↓, Sonn T. ↑,
63', Morn B. 🟨,
65', San K. ↓, Widiyanto L. ↑,
65', Patrick Nonato ↓, Keo O. ↑,
74', Rodrigues J. ↓, Samura U. ↑,
75', Morn B. ↓, Un S. ↑,
75', Sek C. ↓, Chinonso N. E. ↑,
77', Sri P. ↓, San S. ↑,
90+2', Mon V. ↓, Soun S. ↑,
90+4', Hav S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone CPL (Relegation Group: ) and 11).

MOI Kompong Dewa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dangkor Senchey is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

MOI Kompong Dewa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MOI Kompong Dewa FA
Cambodian CPL
19.10.25	Life FC - MOI Kompong Dewa	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	MOI Kompong Dewa - National Defense	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Boeung Ket Angkor - MOI Kompong Dewa	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	MOI Kompong Dewa - Phnom Penh Crown	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Naga World - MOI Kompong Dewa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLLW
- ISI Dangkor Senchey
Cambodian CPL
02.11.25	National Defense - Dangkor Senchey	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Dangkor Senchey - Phnom Penh Crown	2:4 ✺
04.10.25	Dangkor Senchey - Life FC	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Visakha - Dangkor Senchey	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Dangkor Senchey - Boeung Ket Angkor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLL

MOI Kompong Dewa - Dangkor Senchey: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide