Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 12

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	MS Tira		Hapoel Bnei Araba

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.95
	1.58	3.79	5.14	Watch
	1.53	3.78	5.47
	1.55	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	5.14 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Tira
58.3%

Draw
24%

Hapoel Bnei Araba
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

24.6%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MS Tira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MS Tira's performance.

Hapoel Bnei Araba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Bnei Araba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MS Tira than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Araba than the current prediction. (+5%)

MS Tira - Hapoel Bnei Araba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Darawsha M. (Own goal),
25', 1 - 1, Badana W. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Hassan M. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Masry A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 3 - 2, Rabia A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Tira is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Tira
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.12.25	MS Tira - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - MS Tira	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	MS Tira - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	5:0 ✺
05.11.25	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - MS Tira	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	MS Tira - Hapoel Beit Shean	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW
- Hapoel Bnei Araba
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Bnei Araba	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Karmiel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
06.12.24	Hapoel Bnei Araba - MS Tira	1:1

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