Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 11

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday


	Hapoel Bnei Araba		Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.4	3.4
	1.94	3.51	3.42
	2.02	3.52	3.31
	1.96	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 (1.96)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Bnei Araba
46.5%

Draw
26.5%

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

25.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Bnei Araba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Araba than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel aligns with the current prediction.

Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Saker S. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Hassan M. ⚽,
37', Ahmed Ali 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 🟥,
88', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).

Recent form of Hapoel Bnei Araba has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

H Tirat HaCarmel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hapoel Bnei Araba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, H Tirat HaCarmel has had a series of home games.

Hapoel Bnei Araba might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Bnei Araba
Israeli Liga Alef North
05.12.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Araba	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Bnei Araba	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Karmiel	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Bnei Araba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLL
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Israeli Liga Alef North
06.12.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - MS Tira	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:3 ✺
05.11.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLLW

Hapoel Bnei Araba - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide