Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	MTK Budapest		LNZ Cherkasy

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.45	5.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.95)	3.45 ↓ (4.32)	5.72 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MTK Budapest
56.8%

Draw
27%

LNZ Cherkasy
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

21.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

22%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MTK Budapest's performance.

LNZ Cherkasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LNZ Cherkasy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MTK Budapest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (+31.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LNZ Cherkasy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Fadgyas T. (G) 26. Armalas V. 18. Belenyesi C. 34. Csucsanszky Z. 14. Horvath A. (C) 5. Horvath D. 9. Klausz M. 16. Laszlo K. 23. Plsek J. 12. Timoteus M. 8. Zubor A. G.	72. Samoylenko K. (G) . Bennette J. 27. Cara T. 4. Dajko A. 29. Didyk R. . Donyk M. 23. Kravchuk D. 19. Pastukh Y. . Samko 30. Talles Brener . Trialist
Substitutes
35. Balazs J.	9. David C. . Karpenko 70. Matkivskyi D. 8. Miklyash N. 3. Smotrytskyi N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)

Preview

Neutral location.

MTK is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, LNZ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

LNZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

LNZ might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

MTK Budapest - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.59%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MTK Budapest
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Celje - MTK Budapest	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	MTK Budapest - Kecskemeti	2:3 ✺
01.07.26	MTK Budapest - Vasas	3:1 ✺
26.06.26	MTK Budapest - Kazincbarcikai	4:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
15.05.26	Puskás Academy - MTK Budapest	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWT
- LNZ Cherkasy
Club Friendly
30.06.26	Sturm Graz - LNZ Cherkasy	2:6 ✺
27.06.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Hajduk Split	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
24.05.26	Obolon - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 ✺
18.05.26	Kudrivka - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Poltava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WLWLW

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