Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Obolon Arena (Kyiv)

Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Obolon		LNZ Cherkasy

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.75	1.58
	4.95	3.35	1.72
	5.19	3.36	1.75
	5.38	3.46	1.73	Watch
	5	3.25	1.7
	5.3	3.52	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.26 ↑ (4.88)	3.45 ↓ (4.01)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obolon
17.8%

Draw
27.2%

LNZ Cherkasy
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.7%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23.1%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

LNZ Cherkasy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Obolon - LNZ Cherkasy Predictions

Users Predictions: LNZ Cherkasy will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fedorivsky N. (C) 28. Polehenko P. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 50. Semenov D. 5. Shevchenko Y. 13. Medynskyi I. 20. Volokhatyi R. 4. Moroz T. 75. Tretyakov M. 90. Lyakh T. 55. Sukhanov S.	12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 11. Pasich G. 34. Muravskyi N. (C) 29. Didyk R. 14. Drambayev O. 16. Ryabov A. 8. Yakubu A. 19. Pastukh Y. 23. Kravchuk D. 90. Assinor M. 17. Kuzyk D.
Substitutes
21. Bychek K. 17. Chernenko R. 7. Chornyi A. 22. Feshchenko O. 70. Korkh K. 12. Kozlov O. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 91. Lyashchuk R. 31. Marchenko D. (G) 10. Slobodyan O. 99. Teslyuk D. 19. Titov M.	18. Awudu Abdul 27. Bennette J. 4. Dajko A. 10. Jashari M. 1. Ledviy D. (G) 7. Mykytyshyn A. 24. Podolyak M. 33. Putrya I. 72. Samoylenko K. (G) 6. Tankovskiy V. 22. Tverdokhlib Y.
Coaches
Antonenko O.	Ponomaryov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Assinor M. 🟨,
21', Semenov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Assinor M. ↓, Jashari M. ↑,
61', Moroz T. 🟨,
64', Sukhanov S. ↓, Kulakovskyi A. ↑,
66', Kuzyk D. ↓, Bennette J. ↑,
66', Yakubu A. ↓, Mykytyshyn A. ↑,
71', Lyakh T. ↓, Teslyuk D. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Mykytyshyn A. ⚽, Bennette J. (A),
84', Medynskyi I. ↓, Bychek K. ↑,
84', Tretyakov M. ↓, Lyashchuk R. ↑,
86', Pastukh Y. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

LNZ is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, LNZ is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Obolon won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	5:8	-3	8
15	Obolon	7	0	4	3	2:12	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
17.05.26	Kolos Kovalivka - Obolon	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Obolon	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Obolon - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Obolon - Kudrivka	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Obolon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTTL
- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Premier League
18.05.26	Kudrivka - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Poltava	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Dynamo Kyiv	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
06.12.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Obolon	3:0
10.05.25	Obolon - LNZ Cherkasy	0:0
09.11.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Obolon	0:1
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Obolon - LNZ Cherkasy	2:0
Ukrainian Premier League
04.05.24	Obolon - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0
29.10.23	LNZ Cherkasy - Obolon	3:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.10.22	Obolon - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0

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