Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 31

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion (Budapest)


	MTK Budapest		Szombathelyi Haladas

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	10
	1.22	5.5	8.75
	1.22	5.57	10.76
	1.18	6.8	12.5	Watch
	1.21	6	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.35)	5.97 ↑ (4.72)	10.28 ↑ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MTK Budapest
75.8%

Draw
15.3%

Szombathelyi Haladas
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

19.2%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

18.3%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MTK Budapest's performance.

Szombathelyi Haladas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MTK Budapest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Szombathelyi Haladas than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

MTK Budapest - Szombathelyi Haladas Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Haladas will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 17% – 68.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OTP Bank Liga and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches MTK won 3.

MTK in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Halada's is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Halada's could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match MTK is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's MTK to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 17 head-to-head matches MTK won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-17.

Including matches at home between the teams MTK won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB II
10.04.23	Győri ETO - MTK Budapest	1:2 ✺
03.04.23	MTK Budapest - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Csákvári - MTK Budapest	0:0 ✺
13.03.23	MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri	4:2 ✺
05.03.23	Kozármisleny - MTK Budapest	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWW
- Szombathelyi Haladas
Hungarian NB II
09.04.23	Szombathelyi Haladas - Gyirmót	3:3 ✺
02.04.23	Kazincbarcikai - Szombathelyi Haladas	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Szombathelyi Haladas - Pecsi	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Ajka - Szombathelyi Haladas	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Szombathelyi Haladas - Tiszakécske	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
16.10.22	Szombathelyi Haladas - MTK Budapest	3:2
03.11.19	MTK Budapest - Szombathelyi Haladas	3:0
Hungarian NB I
13.04.19	Szombathelyi Haladas - MTK Budapest	1:0
08.12.18	MTK Budapest - Szombathelyi Haladas	4:0
25.08.18	Szombathelyi Haladas - MTK Budapest	1:2
12.04.17	MTK Budapest - Szombathelyi Haladas	0:0
05.11.16	Szombathelyi Haladas - MTK Budapest	1:1

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