Match Info

NB I. - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	MTK Budapest		Diósgyőri

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	2.1	3.45	3.05
	2.08	3.55	2.79
	2.11	3.64	3.18
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.07	3.35	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.03)	3.45 ↓ (3.59)	3.06 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MTK Budapest
43.5%

Draw
26.6%

Diósgyőri
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

25.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

26%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Diósgyőri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diósgyőri than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Diósgyőri will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Hegyi K. (G) 26. Armalas V. 4. Beriashvili I. 25. Kadar T. 30. Vitalyos V. 80. Zeljkovic A. 6. Kata M. (C) 8. Nemeth H. 10. Bognar I. 7. Molnar A. 11. Jurina M.	30. Sentic K. (G) 85. Szakos B. 3. Szatmari C. 6. Bardos B. 22. Bokros S. 20. Benyei A. 50. Vallejo A. (C) 44. Esiti A. 23. Peto M. 11. Colley L. 74. Babos B.
Substitutes
21. Atrok I. 29. Balazs J. (G) 12. Bene D. 24. Fadgyas T. (G) 14. Horvath A. 20. Kerezsi Z. 27. Kovacs P. 18. Nemeth K. 17. Polievka R. 15. Szeles I. A. 3. Szepe J.	32. Ambrose P. 21. Galantai T. 25. Holdampf G. 62. Kastrati L. II. 19. Keita A. 16. Komlosi B. 17. Macso M. 31. Megyeri G. (G) 24. Roguljic A. 9. Sajban M. 93. Tamas M. 68. Varga Zeteny I. 86. Zsombor S.
Coaches
Pinezits M.	Radenkovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Colley L. (Penalty Awarded),
7', Kata M. 🟨,
10', Bardos B. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Colley L. ⚽, Bokros S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nemeth H. ↓, Kerezsi Z. ↑,
59', Benyei A. ↓, Sajban M. ↑,
69', Jurina M. ↓, Nemeth K. ↑,
69', Molnar A. ↓, Polievka R. ↑,
69', Bognar I. ↓, Atrok I. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Atrok I. ⚽,
72', Vitalyos V. 🟨,
72', Kerezsi Z. 🟨,
73', Babos B. 🟨,
73', Colley L. ↓, Ambrose P. ↑,
73', Esiti A. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
73', Babos B. ↓, Holdampf G. ↑,
90+1', Peto M. ↓, Tamas M. ↑,
90+4', Holdampf G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 3.

MTK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Diósgyőri's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Diósgyőri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Diósgyőri has had a series of away games.

MTK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MTK won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	MTK Budapest	8	2	3	3	15:14	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I
27.02.26	Debreceni - MTK Budapest	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	MTK Budapest - Puskás Academy	2:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
11.02.26	MTK Budapest - Kecskemeti	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
08.02.26	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - MTK Budapest	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLL
- Diósgyőri VTK
Hungarian Cup
05.03.26	Budapest Honved - Diósgyőri	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
28.02.26	Diósgyőri - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ujpest - Diósgyőri	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	1:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
11.02.26	Paksi SE - Diósgyőri	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
23.11.25	Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest	4:0
09.08.25	MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri	5:0
17.05.25	Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest	2:1
21.02.25	MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri	4:0
19.10.24	Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest	0:2
14.04.24	MTK Budapest - Diósgyőri	1:1
16.12.23	Diósgyőri - MTK Budapest	3:3

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