Match Info

NB I. - Round 1

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday

Location: Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	MTK Budapest		Zalaegerszegi TE

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	3.2
	2.15	3.40	2.95
	2.1	3.45	3.05
	2.17	3.65	3.29
	2.1	3.61	3.22	Watch
	2.11	3.55	3.25
	2.06	3.34	3.19	Watch
	2.08	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.18)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.15 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MTK Budapest
44.2%

Draw
26.3%

Zalaegerszegi TE
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Zalaegerszegi TE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zalaegerszegi TE than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

MTK Budapest - Zalaegerszegi TE Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. MTK will win (votes: 9 - 60%). ZTE will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MTK: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Demjen P. (G) 2. Varju B. 4. Beriashvili I. 55. Radic S. 27. Kovacs P. 6. Kata M. (C) 80. Zeljkovic A. 11. Jurek G. 17. Hinora K. 16. Laszlo K. 20. Kerezsi Z.	1. Gundel-Takacs B. (G) 8. Csonka A. 4. Peraza J. 33. Diogo Antonio 18. Calderon J. 10. Kiss B. 30. Amato F. 11. Szendrei N. (C) 7. Skribek A. 47. Tchicamboud Q. 23. Maxsuell Alegria
Substitutes
26. Armalas V. 18. Belenyesi C. 10. Bognar I. 24. Fadgyas T. (G) 14. Horvath A. 5. Horvath D. 9. Klausz M. 77. Komaromi G. 23. Plsek J. 13. Timoteus M. 7. Zsori D. 8. Zubor A. G.	32. Alfonso L. 77. Arthur Henrique 74. Babos B. 99. Garai Z. 17. Guilherme Teixeira 75. Kiss M. 12. Lopez D. 14. Madaki J. 21. Maigana T. 31. Mauricio Z. (G) 66. Rozsa M. 3. Vera F.
Coaches
Pinezits M.	Celikkaya F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kerezsi Z. ⚽, Hinora K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Diogo Antonio ↓, Rozsa M. ↑,
56', Laszlo K. ↓, Komaromi G. ↑,
61', Tchicamboud Q. ↓, Alfonso L. ↑,
62', Peraza J. 🟨,
64', Szendrei N. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Kerezsi Z. ⚽, Jurek G. (A),
69', Jurek G. ↓, Klausz M. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Klausz M. ⚽, Komaromi G. (A),
79', Kerezsi Z. ↓, Bognar I. ↑,
80', Hinora K. ↓, Timoteus M. ↑,
80', Varju B. ↓, Armalas V. ↑,
83', Kiss B. ↓, Arthur Henrique ↑,
88', Maxsuell Alegria ↓, Babos B. ↑,
89', Skribek A. ↓, Maigana T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MTK won 2.

In recent matches, MTK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

ZTE is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

MTK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, MTK has had a series of home games.

Recently, ZTE has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, MTK won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, MTK won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	MTK Budapest	8	2	3	3	15:14	1	9
11	Zalaegerszegi	8	2	0	6	7:17	-10	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MTK Budapest
Club Friendly
18.07.26	MTK Budapest - Komárno	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	MTK Budapest - LNZ Cherkasy	0:4 ✺
08.07.26	Celje - MTK Budapest	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	MTK Budapest - Kecskemeti	2:3 ✺
01.07.26	MTK Budapest - Vasas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLW
- Zalaegerszegi TE
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Konyaspor - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:3 ✺
17.07.26	Zalaegerszegi TE - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Slovácko - Zalaegerszegi TE	3:3 ✺
04.07.26	Slaven Belupo - Zalaegerszegi TE	2:3 ✺
01.07.26	Ajka - Zalaegerszegi TE	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
11.04.26	MTK Budapest - Zalaegerszegi TE	3:0
20.12.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - MTK Budapest	1:1
21.09.25	MTK Budapest - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:0
08.03.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - MTK Budapest	1:1
02.11.24	MTK Budapest - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:1
26.07.24	Zalaegerszegi TE - MTK Budapest	0:1
10.03.24	Zalaegerszegi TE - MTK Budapest	2:2

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