Match Info

NB III - Southwest - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday


	MTK Budapest II		Érdi VSE

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.78	3.7	3.55
	1.81	3.76	3.47
	1.80	3.72	3.81	Watch
	1.8	3.76	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.41)	3.89 ↓ (4.5)	3.99 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MTK Budapest II
53.4%

Draw
23.6%

Érdi VSE
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MTK Budapest II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MTK Budapest II's form might have worsened.

Érdi VSE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Érdi VSE's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest II than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MTK Budapest II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Érdi VSE than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Érdi VSE, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

MTK Budapest II - Érdi VSE Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. MTK II (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Érdi (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. MTK II (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Érdi (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 10).

MTK II is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Érdi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Érdi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, MTK II has had a series of home games.

In this match, MTK II is the obvious favorite.

We predict that MTK II will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, MTK II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, MTK II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MTK Budapest II
Hungarian NB III Southwest
27.08.25	MTK Budapest II - Paks II	3:0 ✺
10.08.25	MTK Budapest II - Pénzügyőr	4:0 ✺
06.08.25	MTK Budapest II - Balatonlelle	7:0 ✺
27.07.25	Ferencváros II - MTK Budapest II	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	MTK Budapest II - Putnok	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW
- Érdi VSE
Hungarian NB III Southwest
31.08.25	Érdi VSE - Paks II	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Pénzügyőr - Érdi VSE	0:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
23.08.25	Kaposvari Rakoczi - Érdi VSE	2:2 ✺
Hungarian NB III Southwest
17.08.25	Érdi VSE - Ferencváros II	0:1 ✺
06.08.25	Érdi VSE - Pecsi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southwest
28.04.24	MTK Budapest II - Érdi VSE	1:2
15.10.23	Érdi VSE - MTK Budapest II	5:3

MTK Budapest II - Érdi VSE: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide