Match Info

NB III - Southwest - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	MTK Budapest II		Ferencváros II

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.45	2.78
	2.19	3.42	2.81
	2.38	3.55	2.56	Watch
	2.35	3.38	2.56
	2.3	3.75	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.34)	3.51 ↓ (3.75)	2.63 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MTK Budapest II
39.7%

Draw
25.8%

Ferencváros II
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

24.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MTK Budapest II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ferencváros II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest II than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencváros II than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

MTK Budapest II - Ferencváros II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, ⚽,
88', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

MTK II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, MTK II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, MTK II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MTK Budapest II
Hungarian NB III Southwest
09.11.25	MTK Budapest II - Nagykanizsa	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	MTK Budapest II - Iváncsa	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Pecsi - MTK Budapest II	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	MTK Budapest II - PTE-PEAC	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Szekszárd - MTK Budapest II	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTLW
- Ferencváros II
Hungarian NB III Southwest
09.11.25	Ferencváros II - Dunaújváros	4:2 ✺
02.11.25	Pecsi - Ferencváros II	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Ferencváros II - Szekszárd	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Majosi - Ferencváros II	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Ferencváros II - Kaposvari Rakoczi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB III Southwest
27.07.25	Ferencváros II - MTK Budapest II	5:0
10.11.24	MTK Budapest II - Ferencváros II	1:1
Hungarian NB III Centre
04.12.22	MTK Budapest II - Ferencváros II	2:0
11.08.21	MTK Budapest II - Ferencváros II	0:0

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