Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Winners stage

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Kymenlaakson Sähkö Stadion (Kouvola)


	MYPA		Grankulla IFK

	1	X	2
	2.17	4.87	2.38
	2.58	4.45	2.11	Watch
	2.33	4.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.78)	4.66 ↑ (4.23)	2.25 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MYPA
39.1%

Draw
19.8%

Grankulla IFK
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

21.6%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

20.6%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MYPA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MYPA's performance.

Grankulla IFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MYPA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grankulla IFK than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grankulla IFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MYPA - Grankulla IFK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kangaskolkka E. (G) 45. Ahola K. 4. Eskelinen O. 9. Haimi O. 13. Kahkonen O. 61. Karppanen V. 19. Polat R. 10. Raikkonen T. 16. Rama J. (C) 5. Rauos J. 24. Stadig T.	1. Vahaketo V. (G) 2. Andersson A. 25. Bela V. 26. Bergman J. 7. Deen T. (C) 19. Hoxha B. 11. Nikulainen J. 5. Rossi N. 29. Saarinen S. 6. Tahiri K. 21. Tuuva S.
Substitutes
2. Ekman V. 17. Heimonen O. 99. Kaikkonen A. (G) 37. Niemi V. 31. Partonen E. 14. Piira V. 22. Pykalainen P. 27. Turunen V. 47. Vanhala M.	15. Aethe A. 23. Kallio A. 4. Kouyate B. 3. Makela V. 27. Norhomaa N. 12. Pyhala J. (G) 20. Riihilahti K. 8. Rubensson V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Bela V. ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, Rama J. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Polat R. ⚽,
36', Haimi O. 🟨,
41', Rauos J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 2, Bela V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Saarinen S. ↓, Kallio A. ↑,
58', Nikulainen J. ↓, Aethe A. ↑,
58', Tahiri K. ↓, Makela V. ↑,
62', Kahkonen O. ↓, Partonen E. ↑,
70', Rama J. ↓, Piira V. ↑,
71', 3 - 2, Haimi O. ⚽,
74', Hoxha B. ↓, Norhomaa N. ↑,
74', Bela V. ↓, Riihilahti K. ↑,
77', Haimi O. ↓, Heimonen O. ↑,
77', Rauos J. ↓, Pykalainen P. ↑,
82', Kallio A. 🟨,
82', Ahola K. 🟨,
90+1', Partonen E. 🟨,

Preview

MYPA is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

GrIFK has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MYPA won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, MYPA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MYPA
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
14.09.25	VJS Vantaa - MYPA	9:0 ✺
08.09.25	Honka - MYPA	6:1 ✺
03.09.25	MYPA - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:6 ✺
30.08.25	Puistolan Urheilijat - MYPA	6:1 ✺
16.08.25	MYPA - Haminan Pallo-Kissat	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Grankulla IFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
14.09.25	Grankulla IFK - Puistolan Urheilijat	2:2 ✺
07.09.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - Grankulla IFK	3:1 ✺
03.09.25	Grankulla IFK - VJS Vantaa	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Honka - Grankulla IFK	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Honka - Grankulla IFK	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
02.07.25	Grankulla IFK - MYPA	0:3
25.04.25	MYPA - Grankulla IFK	2:1
04.08.24	Grankulla IFK - MYPA	2:2
31.05.24	MYPA - Grankulla IFK	1:1
Finnish Cup
30.03.14	Grankulla IFK - MYPA	0:2

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