The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 48.5%
Draw 25.3%
Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye 26.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.8%
25.5%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.6%
25%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al Gharbiyye Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Bonder O. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Saker S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 1, ShaShimon A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek won 0.
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Baqa al-Gharbiyye have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:15 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
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