Match Info

Date: 24 February 2020, Monday


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.87	2.1
	3.4	2.75	2.2
	3.15	2.95	2.2
	3.47	2.72	2.11
	4.03	2.73	2.25
	3.64	3.04	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	2.84 ↓ (2.96)	2.16 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
25.7%

Draw
32.1%

Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

30.2%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

22.5%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Ahi Nazareth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
18.02.20	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
14.02.20	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:0 ✺
07.02.20	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
31.01.20	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ashkelon	1:0 ✺
24.01.20	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TTTWL
- Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.02.20	Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0 ✺
14.02.20	Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem - Hapoel Ashkelon	2:2 ✺
07.02.20	Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:3 ✺
31.01.20	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem	0:2 ✺
27.01.20	Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem - Hapoel Bnei Lod	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
01.11.19	Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0
04.03.19	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem	0:1
02.11.18	Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:1
07.05.18	Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2
09.02.18	Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1
13.10.17	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem	2:1
05.05.17	Hapoel Katamon Jerusalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	6:1

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