Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 31

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		Hapoel Nof HaGalil

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	1.94	3.51	3.5
	2.01	3.38	3.42
	2.05	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.85)	3.32 ↑ (3.24)	3.37 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
45.5%

Draw
27.4%

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

27.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

21.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Ahi Nazareth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Nof HaGalil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Nazareth won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Maccabi Nazareth is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Maccabi Nazareth won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Nazareth won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.03.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Bnei Yehuda	2:2 ✺
10.03.23	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:2 ✺
03.03.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Jaffa	0:4 ✺
27.02.23	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	4:0 ✺
20.02.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLLL
- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli Liga Leumit
17.03.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Agudat Sport Ashdod	5:0 ✺
10.03.23	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	5:0 ✺
03.03.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:3 ✺
27.02.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	4:2 ✺
21.02.23	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
13.01.23	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:0
08.09.22	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:2
12.02.21	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:3
02.11.20	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:4
25.06.20	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:1
10.01.20	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:1
12.09.19	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:0

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