Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		Kafr Qasim

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.36	3.05	2.8
	2.48	2.86	3.01
	2.41	3	2.9
	2.38	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.65)	3 ↑ (2.79)	2.85 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
38%

Draw
30.2%

Kafr Qasim
31.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

32.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	75%	6.2%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Kafr Qasim Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Maccabi Nazareth will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Kafr Qasim will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group) and 15 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Nazareth won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Maccabi Nazareth won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Nazareth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.10.22	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:0 ✺
21.10.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Afula	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
18.10.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Azor	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.10.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:0 ✺
07.10.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ramat Gan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLL
- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
31.10.22	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:2 ✺
21.10.22	Ironi Tiberias - Kafr Qasim	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
18.10.22	Tzeirei Kafr Kanna - Kafr Qasim	0:1 ET ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.10.22	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:5 ✺
07.10.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Kafr Qasim	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
17.01.22	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:2
23.09.21	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Kafr Qasim	0:0
04.05.21	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:0
01.01.21	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Kafr Qasim	0:1
Israeli State Cup
15.12.20	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Kafr Qasim	0:1 ET
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.09.20	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:1
04.06.20	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Kafr Qasim	2:4

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Kafr Qasim