Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)


	Hapoel Petah Tikva		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.2	2.75	3.4
	2.13	2.95	3.3
	2.23	2.75	3.59
	2.19	2.78	3.62
	2.18	3.05	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.92)	2.86 ↓ (2.91)	3.43 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Petah Tikva
41.7%

Draw
31.8%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

31.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

30.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Petah Tikva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Petah Tikva's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Petah Tikva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hapoel Petah Tikva will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Maccabi Nazareth will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group) and 14 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Petah Tikva won 1.

Recent matches Hapoel Petah Tikva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maccabi Nazareth is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Petah Tikva will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hapoel Petah Tikva won 6 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 28-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Petah Tikva won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.10.22	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:4 ✺
03.10.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Ironi Tiberias	2:2 ✺
21.09.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Petah Tikva	4:0 ✺
15.09.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Agudat Sport Ashdod	4:0 ✺
12.09.22	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Petah Tikva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLWL
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.10.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Ramat Gan	0:1 ✺
30.09.22	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:0 ✺
22.09.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	0:2 ✺
19.09.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Acre	2:0 ✺
08.09.22	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
07.02.22	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:1
15.10.21	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:0
12.04.21	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:1
08.02.21	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:0
22.09.20	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2
18.06.20	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:1
01.06.20	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	4:2

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