Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 21

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod		Hapoel Azor

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.68
	2.24	3.25	2.5
	2.43	3.34	2.61	Watch
	2.41	3.14	2.64
	2.42	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.97)	3.19 ↑ (3.18)	2.64 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
37.8%

Draw
28.1%

Hapoel Azor
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.3%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

27.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Ironi Ashdod's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Azor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Azor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Azor than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Azor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Azor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hapoel Azor	5	2	1	2	4:6	-2	7
12	M. Ironi Ashdod	5	1	3	1	7:6	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
27.02.26	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	3:3 ✺
06.02.26	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Tzeirei Tira	0:3 ✺
30.01.26	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:3 ✺
23.01.26	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Kfar Saba 1928	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTLWT
- Hapoel Azor
Israeli Liga Alef South
26.02.26	Hapoel Azor - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Hapoel Azor - Hapoel Herzliya	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Azor	1:0 ✺
29.01.26	Hapoel Azor - Beitar Yavne	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Azor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
17.10.25	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1
22.04.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Azor	1:1
20.12.24	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:0
11.03.22	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2
25.11.21	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Azor	1:0
18.01.20	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Azor	1:1
13.09.19	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1

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