Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 22

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Hapoel Azor		Nordia Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.45	3.45
	1.93	3.62	3.59
	1.82	3.79	3.59	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)	3.64 ↓ (3.79)	3.53 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Azor
48.8%

Draw
25.2%

Nordia Jerusalem
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

19.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Azor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Nordia Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Azor than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Azor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Hapoel Azor - Nordia Jerusalem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Pinto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 1 - 1, Yehezkel S. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Hak O. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Azor won 1.

In recent matches, Hapoel Azor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nordia Jerusalem is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Nordia Jerusalem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hapoel Azor is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Azor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Azor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Hapoel Azor	5	2	1	2	4:6	-2	7
18	Nordia Jerusalem	5	0	0	5	2:13	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Azor
Israeli Liga Alef South
12.02.26	Hapoel Azor - Hapoel Herzliya	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Azor	1:0 ✺
29.01.26	Hapoel Azor - Beitar Yavne	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Azor	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Hapoel Azor - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLTW
- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
20.02.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Jerusalem FC	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Tzeirei Tira - Nordia Jerusalem	5:2 ✺
06.02.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Kfar Saba 1928 - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Yavne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
31.10.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Azor	1:2
28.03.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Azor	4:1
06.12.24	Hapoel Azor - Nordia Jerusalem	0:1
29.03.22	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Azor	3:0
10.12.21	Hapoel Azor - Nordia Jerusalem	0:0
28.02.20	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Azor	0:0
25.10.19	Hapoel Azor - Nordia Jerusalem	3:4

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