Match Info

Leumit League - Relegation Group - Round 36

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday


	Maccabi Jaffa		Hapoel Afula

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.4	2.98
	1.72	3.59	4.02
	1.9	3.68	3.68	Watch
	2.08	3.28	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.32)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	3.46 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Jaffa
47.2%

Draw
26.3%

Hapoel Afula
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

27.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Jaffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Jaffa's performance.

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Afula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Jaffa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Afula Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Itzhak G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Biton M. ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Peretz R. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Elgaby S. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, Itzhak G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Jaffa won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Maccabi Jaffa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Jaffa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Jaffa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hapoel Afula	8	4	2	2	16:12	4	14
14	Maccabi Jaffa	8	2	0	6	7:17	-10	6

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Afula - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.81%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Leumit
15.05.26	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Jaffa	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Jaffa	4:1 ✺
04.05.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Maccabi Jaffa	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Acre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWT
- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
15.05.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
04.05.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Afula	4:1 ✺
24.04.26	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
20.02.26	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Jaffa	0:5
17.10.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Afula	1:2
09.05.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Afula	2:0
17.01.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Jaffa	2:2
12.09.24	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Afula	2:2
05.01.24	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Jaffa	0:2
24.08.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Afula	5:1

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