Match Info

Leumit League - Round 10

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Maccabi Jaffa		Ironi Modiin

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.50	2.40
	2.40	3.40	2.42
	2.49	3.72	2.53
	2.46	3.75	2.52	Watch
	2.40	3.65	2.45
	2.40	3.52	2.38
	2.44	3.55	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.37)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	2.45 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Jaffa
37.5%

Draw
25.4%

Ironi Modiin
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

25.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.5%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Jaffa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ironi Modiin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Maccabi Jaffa - Ironi Modiin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Sabag A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, Hassan O. ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 12th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Maccabi Jaffa has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Maccabi Jaffa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ironi Modiin	10	3	2	5	15:17	-2	11
15	Maccabi Jaffa	10	2	0	8	7:22	-15	6

Last Results with these Odds

Ironi Modiin - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.77%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Leumit
12.10.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Jaffa	3:0 ✺
01.10.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Acre	1:0 ✺
28.09.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Jaffa	3:1 ✺
17.09.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Bnei Raina	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Ra`anana	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.10.26	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Afula	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Modiin	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Ironi Modiin - MS Ashdod	1:3 ✺
17.09.26	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Ironi Modiin	3:2 ✺
10.09.26	Ironi Modiin - Bnei Yehuda	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
08.05.26	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Jaffa	4:1
30.01.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Ironi Modiin	1:0
28.09.25	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Jaffa	2:2

Maccabi Jaffa - Ironi Modiin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide