Match Info

Leumit League - Round 18

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday


	Maccabi Jaffa		Kafr Qasim

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.15	2.68
	2.57	3.45	2.56	Watch
	2.44	3.14	2.6
	2.57	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.63)	3.24 ↓ (3.59)	2.59 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Jaffa
36.6%

Draw
28.2%

Kafr Qasim
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

25.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

25.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Jaffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Maccabi Jaffa - Kafr Qasim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Beit Yaakov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Jaffa won 0.

Recent form of Maccabi Jaffa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kafr Qasim is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maccabi Jaffa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Jaffa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Jaffa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	MS Kafr Qasim	8	4	1	3	12:8	4	13
14	Maccabi Jaffa	8	2	0	6	7:17	-10	6

Last Results with these Odds

Maccabi Jaffa - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.3%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli Liga Leumit
02.01.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Maccabi Jaffa	1:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
25.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Maccabi Jaffa	0:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.12.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Jaffa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWLLL
- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
02.01.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Acre	1:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.12.25	Kafr Qasim - Holon Yermiyahu	3:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
22.12.25	Hapoel Hadera - Kafr Qasim	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Kafr Qasim - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Kafr Qasim	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
08.09.25	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Jaffa	4:2
04.04.25	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Jaffa	1:1
24.03.25	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Jaffa	1:1
06.12.24	Maccabi Jaffa - Kafr Qasim	1:1
09.02.24	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Jaffa	2:1
02.10.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Kafr Qasim	0:1
17.01.23	Maccabi Jaffa - Kafr Qasim	0:2

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