Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 11

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Kiryat Gat		Beitar Yavne

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.25	5.5
	1.44	4.3	5.57
	1.42	4.55	5.86	Watch
	1.52	4.43	5.12
	1.4	4.5	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	4.41 ↑ (4.33)	5.56 ↓ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
63%

Draw
20.7%

Beitar Yavne
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.9%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.8%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Beitar Yavne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Gat than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beitar Yavne than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Beitar Yavne Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kiryat Gat (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Perez I. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 2 - 0, Mishali E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 3 - 0, Mishali E. ⚽,
60', 4 - 0, Mishali E. ⚽,
70', 4 - 1, Hayek P. (Own goal),
90+2', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 6).

Kiryat Gat has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Beitar Yavne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Beitar Yavne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kiryat Gat is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Kiryat Gat will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Kiryat Gat FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.12.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:2 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Tzeirei Tira	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWWW
- Beitar Yavne
Israeli Liga Alef South
05.12.25	Beitar Yavne - Dimona	4:0 ✺
27.11.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Beitar Yavne	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Beitar Yavne - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	3:2 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Beitar Yavne	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Beitar Yavne - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWWLL

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