Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 8

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Jerusalem FC		Maccabi Kiryat Gat

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.7	2.1
	2.7	3.72	2.15
	2.85	3.61	2.15	Watch
	2.85	3.56	2.13
	2.85	3.65	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.85)	3.65 (3.65)	2.13 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerusalem FC
32.5%

Draw
24.9%

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

25.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.4%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerusalem FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Gat than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Gat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 0 - 1, Hadad G. ⚽,
90+8', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Jerusalem has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kiryat Gat is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jerusalem may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
03.11.25	Dimona - Jerusalem FC	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.10.25	Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim - Jerusalem FC	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
17.10.25	Jerusalem FC - Nordia Jerusalem	4:2 ✺
10.10.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	Jerusalem FC - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWLW
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Tzeirei Tira	3:0 ✺
17.10.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Kfar Saba 1928	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Maccabi Yavne - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTWW

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