Match Info

Leumit League - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel


	Maccabi Petah Tikva		Hapoel Acre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	3.95	5.7
	1.48	4.27	6.08
	1.50	4.17	5.85	Watch
	1.57	4.18	5.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.74)	4.14 ↑ (3.65)	5.71 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Petah Tikva
61.5%

Draw
22.3%

Hapoel Acre
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

25.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

25%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Petah Tikva's performance.

Hapoel Acre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Petah Tikva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Acre than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Petah Tikva won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hapoel Acre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maccabi Petah Tikva is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Petah Tikva won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Petah Tikva won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
21.09.25	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:2 ✺
17.09.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Kafr Qasim	2:3 ✺
31.08.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLWT
- Hapoel Acre
Israeli Liga Leumit
21.09.25	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Jaffa	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Acre	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Acre	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Hapoel Acre - Kafr Qasim	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Acre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
03.04.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre	1:1
13.03.23	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre	3:1
07.12.22	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:1
04.06.20	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre	1:0
16.12.19	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:2
Israeli Ligat haAl
28.04.18	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:1
26.02.18	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Acre	2:1

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