Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 13

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday


	Maccabi Yavne		Beitar Yavne

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.55	3.8
	1.89	3.68	3.41	Watch
	1.93	3.5	3.37
	1.73	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.14)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	3.7 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Yavne
49.7%

Draw
25.7%

Beitar Yavne
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

25.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.6%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Yavne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Yavne's performance.

Beitar Yavne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beitar Yavne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Yavne than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Yavne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beitar Yavne than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beitar Yavne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maccabi Yavne - Beitar Yavne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Davidov I. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Ivgi I. E. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Davidov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 2 - 2, Yatzker R. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

Maccabi Yavne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beitar Yavne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Beitar Yavne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Maccabi Yavne	5	2	2	1	9:3	6	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Yavne
Israeli Liga Alef South
18.12.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Yavne	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Yavne	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Maccabi Yavne - Tzeirei Tira	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Maccabi Yavne	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLW
- Beitar Yavne
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.12.25	Beitar Yavne - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Beitar Yavne	4:2 ✺
05.12.25	Beitar Yavne - Dimona	4:0 ✺
27.11.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Beitar Yavne	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Beitar Yavne - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WLWWW

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