Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 12

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Machico (Machico)


	Machico		Celoricense

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.88	2.2
	3.43	2.88	2.15
	3.34	2.93	2.21	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.2
	3.22	3.11	2.23
	3.4	2.9	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.7)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machico
27.4%

Draw
31.1%

Celoricense
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

29.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Machico's form might have worsened.

Celoricense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machico, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celoricense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Machico - Celoricense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Machico is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Celoricense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Celoricense	4	2	1	1	3:2	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.01.26	Limianos - Machico	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Machico - Desportivo Monção	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Mirandela - Machico	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Ribeira Brava - Machico	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Vilaverdense - Machico	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLT
- CD Celoricense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.01.26	Ribeira Brava - Celoricense	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Bragança - Celoricense	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Celoricense - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Celoricense - Camacha	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Celoricense - Brito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTWL

Machico - Celoricense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide