Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 19

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Machico		Marítimo B

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.65	5.6
	1.95	3.2	3.85
	1.84	3.2	4.13
	1.54	3.65	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.5)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	4.8 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machico
53.8%

Draw
27%

Marítimo B
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

24.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

23.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Machico's form might have worsened.

Marítimo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machico, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo B than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Machico - Marítimo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Machico is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marítimo B has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Machico is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Machico won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Machico won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.25	Cinfães - Machico	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Machico - Coimbrões	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Marco 09 - Machico	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Machico - Camacha	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Régua - Machico	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLTT
- Marítimo B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.25	Marítimo B - Guarda FC	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Salgueiros 08 - Marítimo B	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Marítimo B - União Lamas	1:5 ✺
19.01.25	Gondomar - Marítimo B	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Marítimo B - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.10.24	Marítimo B - Machico	1:0
08.04.23	Marítimo B - Machico	1:1
18.12.22	Machico - Marítimo B	0:2

Machico - Marítimo B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide