Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 18

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Marítimo B		Guarda FC

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.34	3.25	2.75
	2.31	3.38	2.71
	2.36	3.14	2.81
	2.34	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (3.57)	3.24 ↑ (3.18)	2.73 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo B
38.9%

Draw
27.9%

Guarda FC
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.4%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

27.5%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marítimo B's performance.

Guarda FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarda FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo B than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda FC than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarda FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marítimo B - Guarda FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 🟥,
77', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Marítimo B has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guarda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Marítimo B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marítimo B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.02.25	Salgueiros 08 - Marítimo B	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Marítimo B - União Lamas	1:5 ✺
19.01.25	Gondomar - Marítimo B	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Marítimo B - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Cinfães - Marítimo B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL
- Guarda FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.02.25	Guarda FC - Cinfães	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Coimbrões - Guarda FC	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Guarda FC - Marco 09	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Camacha - Guarda FC	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Régua - Guarda FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.09.24	Guarda FC - Marítimo B	3:1

Marítimo B - Guarda FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide