Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 4

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)

Referee: Acevedo A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Austria	DAZN
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	DAZN App
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN App


	Madrid CFF		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.45	3.75	1.6
	4.75	4.16	1.63
	4.33	3.90	1.70	Watch
	4.72	3.66	1.63
	3.8	3.2	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (3.72)	3.73 ↑ (3.13)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madrid CFF
20.6%

Draw
24.3%

Atlético Madrid
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

26.8%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

25.4%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madrid CFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Madrid CFF - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gracia B. (G) 11. Melgard K. 19. Mendoza N. 5. Monica (C) 4. Villafane S. 17. Poljak A. 8. Marcetto M. 21. Rivas M. 16. Antonsdottir H. 10. Anita 20. Sosa A.	1. Lola (C) 5. Perez X. 4. Lauren Leal 15. Lloris S. 3. Medina A. 8. Garcia G. 21. Iannuzzi F. 17. Bartel J. 7. Jensen S. 18. Gio Garbelini 19. Portales Nieto M.
Substitutes
7. Andonova N. 29. Aymerich M. 27. Indias C. 3. Laborde E. 23. Nautnes E. 32. Rivarola N. (G) 14. Ruiz A. 6. Sanchez N.	23. Alexia 6. Boe Risa V. 46. Gutierrez D. 13. Larque P. (G) 22. Luany 38. Ortega N. 41. Rodriguez L. 20. Sarriegi A. 10. Vitoria A.
Coaches
Aguado J.	Alba V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Iannuzzi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Poljak A. ⚽, Antonsdottir H. (A),
60', Portales Nieto M. ↓, Luany ↑,
61', Bartel J. ↓, Boe Risa V. ↑,
64', Anita ↓, Nautnes E. ↑,
64', Melgard K. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
66', Monica 🟨,
69', Jensen S. ↓, Sarriegi A. ↑,
76', Antonsdottir H. ↓, Laborde E. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Iannuzzi F. ⚽,
83', Marcetto M. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
83', Rivas M. ↓, Andonova N. ↑,
90+1', Iannuzzi F. ↓, Vitoria A. ↑,
90+1', Lauren Leal ↓, Alexia ↑,
90+3', Ruiz A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madrid CFF won 0.

Madrid CFF has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Madrid is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Madrid CFF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Madrid is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Madrid CFF won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 11:35. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Madrid CFF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:17. (average 0.4:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madrid CFF
Spanish Liga F Women
14.09.25	Real Madrid - Madrid CFF	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Madrid CFF - Eibar	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Madrid CFF - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly Women
19.08.25	Levante - Madrid CFF	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Eibar - Madrid CFF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTLW
- Atlético Madrid Féminas
UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Häcken	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Levante	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
11.09.25	Häcken - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
05.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
02.03.25	Madrid CFF - Atlético Madrid	0:3
27.09.24	Atlético Madrid - Madrid CFF	4:0
11.02.24	Atlético Madrid - Madrid CFF	1:1
19.11.23	Madrid CFF - Atlético Madrid	1:4
25.01.23	Madrid CFF - Atlético Madrid	2:2
22.10.22	Atlético Madrid - Madrid CFF	1:1
02.02.22	Atlético Madrid - Madrid CFF	3:2

Madrid CFF - Atlético Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide