Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cuesta B. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Spain	17:00	DAZN Espana, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2


	Eibar		Madrid CFF

	1	X	2
	3.00	2.95	2.20
	2.70	2.90	2.45	Watch
	3.15	3.47	2.19
	2.64	3.12	2.7	Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.14
	3.12	3.43	2.18
	3.05	3.05	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.35)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	2.29 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
31.1%

Draw
28.8%

Madrid CFF
40.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.5%

28.2%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

27.5%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Madrid CFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madrid CFF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eibar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Madrid CFF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eibar - Madrid CFF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wellmann A. (G) 2. Zumarraga A. 14. Botero S. 4. Andres C. (C) 12. Belem A. 17. Moreno E. 6. Rico Torres A. 22. Noe 8. Sanchez N. 9. Alvarez C. 11. Martin S.	1. Ulloa P. (C) 4. Villafane S. 2. Taylor K. 12. Lejeune R. 14. Carrasco R. 11. Ruiz A. 6. Gonzalez Rosa A. 8. Holt E. 21. Rivas M. 7. Ouzraoui S. 23. Nautnes E.
Substitutes
21. Angeles 5. Azpiazu N. 16. Carvajal M. 7. De Meester T. 13. Marti L. (G) 3. Masegur M. 23. Ortiz S. 20. Seidl M.	10. Bebe 13. de Gracia B. (G) 17. Herrera A. 19. Konan I. 9. Leon P. 5. Monica 18. Silva M. 24. Ubamba H.
Coaches
Goikoetxea I.	Sanchez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Ouzraoui S. ⚽, Rivas M. (A),
31', Nautnes E. ↓, Ubamba H. ↑,
31', 0 - 2, Ruiz A. ⚽,
39', Moreno E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Holt E. ↓, Bebe ↑,
46', Rivas M. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
56', Martin S. 🟨,
61', Taylor K. 🟨,
67', Sanchez N. ↓, Angeles ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Angeles ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Alvarez C. ⚽,
76', Ruiz A. ↓, Konan I. ↑,
76', Herrera A. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
85', Alvarez C. ↓, De Meester T. ↑,
85', Lejeune R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Eibar has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:29 (averaging 1.2:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Eibar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 6:15 goals (averaging 1:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Madrid CFF W	8	4	2	2	13:15	-2	14
6	Eibar W	8	3	3	2	8:9	-1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Madrid CFF - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 45.3%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar Women
Spanish Liga F Women
18.10.26	Eibar - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Granada - Eibar	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Sevilla - Eibar	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Eibar - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Eibar - Badalona	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LTWWL
- Madrid CFF
Spanish Liga F Women
18.10.26	Atlético Madrid - Madrid CFF	4:0 ✺
03.10.26	Madrid CFF - Athletic Bilbao	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Madrid CFF - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Espanyol - Madrid CFF	5:1 ✺
12.09.26	Madrid CFF - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
17.01.26	Eibar - Madrid CFF	1:3
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Madrid CFF - Eibar	3:2
Spanish Liga F Women
06.09.25	Madrid CFF - Eibar	1:0
Club Friendly Women
03.08.25	Eibar - Madrid CFF	1:2
Spanish Liga F Women
08.02.25	Eibar - Madrid CFF	1:2
16.11.24	Madrid CFF - Eibar	2:1
09.03.24	Madrid CFF - Eibar	1:2

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