Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 16

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar)

Referee: Sanchez Y. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	Eibar		Madrid CFF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.15	3.48	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.2	1.8
	4.34	3.28	1.77
	4.2	3.33	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.67)	3.32 ↓ (3.46)	1.81 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eibar
22.1%

Draw
27.4%

Madrid CFF
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

26.8%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.4%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Madrid CFF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Eibar - Madrid CFF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marti L. (G) 5. Ojeda P. 12. Belem A. 20. Masegur M. 4. Andres C. 3. Facila G. 23. Moreno E. 7. Altonaga A. 18. Rico Torres A. 19. Martin S. 16. Alvarez C.	1. Ulloa P. (G) 19. Mendoza N. 4. Villafane S. 5. Monica 16. Antonsdottir H. 14. Ruiz A. 8. Marcetto M. 20. Sosa A. 17. Poljak A. 11. Melgard K. 7. Andonova N.
Substitutes
1. Astralaga E. (G) 11. Camino 22. Clement Tukumbuke O. 6. Etxezarreta A. 8. Iribarren 14. Lacosta I. 28. Lopez M. 17. Peckova A. 21. Uranga 10. Valej E.	10. Anita 30. de Gracia B. (G) 3. Laborde E. 23. Nautnes E. 24. Olofsson F. 21. Rivas M. 6. Sanchez N.
Coaches
Goikoetxea I.	Sanchez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Alvarez C. ⚽,
29', Ojeda P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Ojeda P. ↓, Camino ↑,
46', Ruiz A. ↓, Nautnes E. ↑,
47', Facila G. 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Nautnes E. ⚽,
54', Monica 🟨,
65', Moreno E. ↓, Iribarren ↑,
66', Villafane S. 🟨,
69', 1 - 2, Melgard K. ⚽, Sosa A. (A),
73', Andonova N. ↓, Anita ↑,
75', Masegur M. ↓, Clement Tukumbuke O. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Nautnes E. ⚽, Anita (A),
82', Altonaga A. ↓, Etxezarreta A. ↑,
82', Belem A. ↓, Lacosta I. ↑,
85', Monica ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
88', Antonsdottir H. 🟨,
90+1', Marcetto M. ↓, Olofsson F. ↑,
90+1', Poljak A. ↓, Laborde E. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Eibar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Madrid CFF is considered a favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Eibar won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Eibar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Madrid CFF W	6	4	1	1	11:9	2	13
5	Eibar W	6	3	2	1	4:4	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Eibar - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 25.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Eibar Women
Spanish Liga F Women
10.01.26	Alhama - Eibar	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Madrid CFF - Eibar	3:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Logroño United - Eibar	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Real Madrid - Eibar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLTWL
- Madrid CFF
Spanish Liga F Women
10.01.26	Barcelona - Madrid CFF	12:1 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Madrid CFF - Eibar	3:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
13.12.25	Madrid CFF - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Espanyol - Madrid CFF	2:5 ✺
22.11.25	Madrid CFF - Logroño United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Madrid CFF - Eibar	3:2
Spanish Liga F Women
06.09.25	Madrid CFF - Eibar	1:0
Club Friendly Women
03.08.25	Eibar - Madrid CFF	1:2
Spanish Liga F Women
08.02.25	Eibar - Madrid CFF	1:2
16.11.24	Madrid CFF - Eibar	2:1
09.03.24	Madrid CFF - Eibar	1:2
04.10.23	Eibar - Madrid CFF	1:6

Eibar - Madrid CFF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide