The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Madrid CFF 43.2%
Draw 26.7%
Deportivo Alavés 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
26.2%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
24.9%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madrid CFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madrid CFF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Alavés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Madrid CFF - Deportivo Alavés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ulloa P. (C) 4. Villafane S. 2. Taylor K. 12. Lejeune R. 28. Hernandez S. 6. Gonzalez Rosa A. 7. Ouzraoui S. 10. Debora Bebe 8. Holt E. 24. Ubamba H. 23. Nautnes E.
1. Fuente S. (G) 2. Parera L. 5. Juan I. (C) 21. Pichi 23. Vidal J. 6. Lopez N. 12. Kim Shin-Ji 7. Sobron C. 11. Gomez A. 20. Guallar A. 15. Brima K. Z.
Substitutes
29. Aymerich M. 13. de Gracia B. (G) 17. Herrera A. 9. Leon P. 21. Rivas M. 11. Ruiz A.
17. Ait El Haj H. 8. Brasero-Carreira S. 19. Diaz Y. 24. Izal M. 10. Navajas L. 13. Polozen S. (G) 9. Reyes 16. Rivero A. 18. Viles E.
Coaches
Sanchez J.
Esteban Catalan A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45+4', Lopez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Debora Bebe ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
46', Nautnes E. ↓, Aymerich M. ↑,
46', Parera L. ↓, Ait El Haj H. ↑,
46', Kim Shin-Ji ↓, Navajas L. ↑,
46', Guallar A. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Villafane S. ⚽,
58', Vidal J. 🟨,
64', Brima K. Z. 🟨,
67', Gonzalez Rosa A. 🟨,
68', Lejeune R. 🟨,
73', Sobron C. ↓, Brasero-Carreira S. ↑,
75', Holt E. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
82', Hernandez S. 🟨,
83', Ubamba H. ↓, Leon P. ↑,
90', Pichi ↓, Reyes ↑,
90+1', Ouzraoui S. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
90+7', Brima K. Z. 🟨,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd and 10th).
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Madrid CFF may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Madrid CFF is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Madrid CFF has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:5 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Madrid CFF against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:2 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).
Spain
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Ulloa P. (C) 
Taylor K. 
Lejeune R. 
Ouzraoui S. 
Debora Bebe 
Holt E. 
Ubamba H. 
Nautnes E. 
Lopez N. 
Kim Shin-Ji 
Brima K. Z. 
Herrera A. 
Brasero-Carreira S. 
Diaz Y. 
Polozen S. (G) 
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