Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)

Referee: Gonzalez Z. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	Madrid CFF		Levante

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.65
	1.69	3.7	5.03
	1.14	7.53	15.05	Watch
	1.64	3.62	4.72
	1.91	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.93)	4.33 ↑ (3.26)	6.62 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madrid CFF
62.1%

Draw
22.9%

Levante
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madrid CFF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madrid CFF's performance.

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madrid CFF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Madrid CFF - Levante Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Madrid CFF (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Madrid CFF (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Madrid CFF (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Madrid CFF (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Madrid CFF will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Madrid CFF (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ulloa P. (C) 19. Mendoza N. 4. Villafane S. 16. Antonsdottir H. 11. Melgard K. 20. Sosa A. 21. Rivas M. 17. Poljak A. 7. Andonova N. 8. Marcetto M. 10. Anita	13. Coronado L. (G) 17. Alharilla M. (C) 4. Merida T. 3. Velasco A. 20. Carrasco R. 19. Cabezas S. 10. Gonzalez E. 21. Marin C. 7. Castellanos D. 24. Traore N. 9. Nunez P.
Substitutes
30. Gracia B. (G) 28. Hernandez S. 3. Laborde E. 9. Lopez B. 5. Monica 23. Nautnes E. 32. Rivarola N. (G) 14. Ruiz A. 6. Sanchez N.	22. Ali P. 5. Alonso E. 36. Alvarez A. (G) 8. Bascunan A. 11. Franco A. 15. Gabaldon M. 14. Silva D.
Coaches
Aguado J.	Lima E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Poljak A. ⚽, Antonsdottir H. (A),
14', Rivas M. 🟨,
38', Cabezas S. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rivas M. ↓, Laborde E. ↑,
46', Castellanos D. ↓, Alonso E. ↑,
46', Traore N. ↓, Gabaldon M. ↑,
63', Anita ↓, Nautnes E. ↑,
63', Gonzalez E. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
71', Nunez P. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
77', Sosa A. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
77', Andonova N. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
77', Merida T. ↓, Bascunan A. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Melgard K. ⚽,
87', Velasco A. 🟨,
89', Melgard K. ↓, Hernandez S. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madrid CFF won 1.

Recent performances by Madrid CFF have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Levante is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Levante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Madrid CFF is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Madrid CFF won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Madrid CFF won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madrid CFF
Spanish Liga F Women
28.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Madrid CFF	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Madrid CFF - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Real Madrid - Madrid CFF	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Madrid CFF - Eibar	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Madrid CFF - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLWT
- Levante UD Women
Spanish Liga F Women
28.09.25	Levante - Eibar	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Real Sociedad - Levante	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Levante	4:0 ✺
07.09.25	Levante - Alhama	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Levante - Granada	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Women
19.08.25	Levante - Madrid CFF	2:1
Spanish Liga F Women
11.05.25	Levante - Madrid CFF	0:0
08.12.24	Madrid CFF - Levante	2:1
15.06.24	Levante - Madrid CFF	3:0
05.11.23	Madrid CFF - Levante	0:1
01.04.23	Madrid CFF - Levante	1:0
17.12.22	Levante - Madrid CFF	2:1

Madrid CFF - Levante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide