The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Sociedad 65.5%
Draw 21.2%
Levante 13.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
23.7%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
23%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Sociedad's performance.
Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Levante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Sociedad - Levante Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Arrula J. (G) 12. Rodriguez Herrero L. M. 20. Molina M. 3. Vicente A. 24. Agirrezabala A. 19. Aparicio A. 8. Jacinto A. 5. Fernandez P. 14. Eguiguren I. 10. Eizaguirre N. (C) 23. Imade E.
13. Coronado L. (G) 17. Alharilla M. (C) 5. Alonso E. 4. Merida T. 15. Gabaldon M. 19. Cabezas S. 14. Silva D. 21. Marin C. 20. Carrasco R. 10. Gonzalez E. 18. Agama Z.
Substitutes
4. Aparicio N. 22. Cahynova K. 1. Estensoro A. (G) 2. Florentino C. 6. Guridi E. 11. Marcos C. 7. Pardo L. 21. Ramirez E. 9. Uria Gabilondo M.
22. Ali P. 8. Bascunan A. 29. Gonzi L. 35. Luque D. 31. Rizo I. 1. Tarazona A. (G) 3. Velasco A.
Coaches
Ruiz A.
Lima E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Eizaguirre N. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Gonzalez E. (Pen),
32', Cabezas S. 🟨,
35', Imade E. 🟨,
39', Fernandez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Agama Z. ↓, Rizo I. ↑,
69', Rodriguez Herrero L. M. ↓, Aparicio N. ↑,
70', Eguiguren I. ↓, Pardo L. ↑,
79', Cabezas S. ↓, Luque D. ↑,
79', Jacinto A. ↓, Cahynova K. ↑,
80', Agirrezabala A. ↓, Marcos C. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Eizaguirre N. ⚽,
87', Eizaguirre N. ↓, Guridi E. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2.
Real Sociedad is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Levante's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Real Sociedad has had a series of away games.
Recently, Levante has had a series of home games.
In this match, Real Sociedad is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:35. (average 1.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).