Match Info

Super League - Round 5

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Gelora Ratu Pamelingan Stadium (Pamekasan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Madura United		Bhayangkara

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.25	2.05
	3.1	3.3	2.02	Watch
	3.49	3.6	2.1
	3.15	3.53	2.14	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2
	3.12	3.42	2.02
	3.15	3.4	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.76)	3.43 ↑ (3.31)	2.06 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madura United
28.6%

Draw
26.7%

Bhayangkara
44.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

28%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Bhayangkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bhayangkara's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Madura United - Bhayangkara Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Madura United will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bhayangkara will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saputro A. (G) 15. Numberi G. 3. Monteiro P. 95. Mendonca 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 23. Jaja 21. Freitas Gali 11. Lulinha (C) 8. Santacruz J. 99. Kusuma A.	12. Awan Setho (G) 2. Gede P. 4. Sadiki N. 6. Sibille K. 11. Andika F. 19. Ichsan T. (C) 28. Vera M. 99. Ocampo M. 97. Brenes J. 17. Sidibe M. 10. Allano
Substitutes
77. Balotelli 33. Idrus A. 12. Koto B. (G) 69. Maulidino M. 24. Muslihuddin T. 42. Ramzy F. 78. Ray R. 68. Rusadi A. 29. Sapari D. 16. Scheunemann B. 17. Sitanggang P. 28. Yagalo V.	33. Andhika M. 71. Fahri M. (G) 41. Ferarri M. 96. Kurnia R. 58. Missa F. 5. Moises Gaucho 26. Murari F. 14. Nugraha R. 27. Putra Y. 7. Ristovski M. 20. Rizki S. 23. Subo W.
Coaches
Ze Gomes	Bruzon O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Brenes J. ⚽, Ichsan T. (A),
37', Gede P. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Santacruz J. ⚽, Freitas Gali (A),
53', Mendonca 🟨,
60', Brenes J. 🟥,
61', Jaja 🟨,
71', 1 - 2, Ocampo M. ⚽, Sidibe M. (A),
72', Kusuma A. ↓, Balotelli ↑,
75', Ichsan T. ↓, Moises Gaucho ↑,
75', Sidibe M. ↓, Rizki S. ↑,
75', Gede P. ↓, Murari F. ↑,
75', Allano ↓, Ristovski M. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Balotelli ⚽, Lulinha (A),
82', Ilhamsyah ↓, Ray R. ↑,
82', Numberi G. ↓, Muslihuddin T. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Santacruz J. ⚽, Lulinha (A),
90+2', 3 - 3, Rizki S. ⚽, Ristovski M. (A),
90+7', Andika F. ↓, Missa F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 0.

Madura United has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Madura United has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:27 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Madura United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:12 goals (averaging 0.9:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Madura United	4	3	0	1	7:4	3	9
10	FC Bhayangkara	4	1	3	0	7:5	2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Madura United - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.62%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
09.10.26	Persik Kediri - Madura United	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Madura United - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	PSS Sleman - Madura United	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Madura United - Persijap Jepara	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.26	Borneo Samarinda - Madura United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWWW
- Bhayangkara FC
Indonesian Super League
10.10.26	Arema - Bhayangkara	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Bhayangkara - Isenmulang Kalteng	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Dewa United - Bhayangkara	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Bhayangkara - Persebaya Surabaya	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Bhayangkara - PSBS Biak Numfor	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
11.05.26	Bhayangkara - Madura United	3:1
12.09.25	Madura United - Bhayangkara	0:0
01.03.24	Bhayangkara - Madura United	3:2
25.08.23	Madura United - Bhayangkara	0:0
20.02.23	Bhayangkara - Madura United	4:0
08.09.22	Madura United - Bhayangkara	1:0
14.01.22	Madura United - Bhayangkara	2:3

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