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Current Win Probability
Madura United 21.9%
Draw 24.5%
Persib Bandung 53.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.9%
22.5%
61.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.4%
21.9%
63.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madura United's performance.
Persib Bandung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Persib Bandung might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madura United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Persib Bandung than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Persib Bandung could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Madura United - Persib Bandung Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Saputro A. (G) 15. Numberi G. 95. Mendonca 3. Monteiro P. 45. Hidayat T. 23. Jaja 8. Santacruz J. 36. Ilhamsyah 21. Freitas Gali 9. Mitkov D. 11. Lulinha (C)
14. Paku Alam T. (G) 5. Rudianto K. 4. Julio Cesar 48. Matricardi P. 2. Reijnders E. 23. Klok M. (C) 18. Alis A. 33. Haye T. 9. Menalo L. 99. Sekulic B. 97. Berguinho
Substitutes
77. Balotelli 26. Harlan A. (G) 33. Idrus A. 10. Iran Junior 99. Kusuma A. 24. Muslihuddin T. 42. Ramzy F. 78. Ray R. 68. Rusadi A. 29. Sapari D. 17. Sitanggang P. 28. Yagalo V.
19. Alfaro N. 8. Guaycochea L. 11. Kusnandar D. 22. Loncar D. 81. Maulana F. (G) 10. Peralta M. 7. Putra B. 30. Rasyiq R. 40. Tanamal I. 94. Uilliam 6. Walsh S.
Coaches
Ze Gomes
Tolic I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rudianto K. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
46', Alis A. ↓, Guaycochea L. ↑,
46', Menalo L. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
73', Lulinha ↓, Iran Junior ↑,
74', Guaycochea L. 🟨,
81', Haye T. ↓, Uilliam ↑,
84', Freitas Gali ↓, Kusuma A. ↑,
84', Santacruz J. ↓, Balotelli ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Mitkov D. ⚽, Iran Junior (A),
90+2', Klok M. ↓, Putra B. ↑,
90+4', Mitkov D. ↓, Rusadi A. ↑,
90+6', Uilliam 🟨,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 6th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madura United won 0.
Madura United is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Persib Bandung is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Persib Bandung may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Persib Bandung is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Madura United has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:33 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Madura United against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 13:16 goals (averaging 1.3:1.6 per game).
Indonesia
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Saputro A. (G) 
Mendonca 
Monteiro P. 
Santacruz J. 
Freitas Gali 
Mitkov D. 
Matricardi P. 
Menalo L. 
Sekulic B. 
Balotelli 
Loncar D. 
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