Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Madureira U20		Botafogo RJ U20

	1	X	2
	3.86	2.92	1.92
	5.24	2.61	1.93	Watch
	5.46	3.02	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (5.24)	2.85 ↑ (2.61)	1.85 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madureira U20
18.8%

Draw
32%

Botafogo RJ U20
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

35.1%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

34%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madureira U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Botafogo RJ U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Madureira U20 - Botafogo RJ U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, ⚽,
20', 0 - 3, ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
65', 1 - 4, ⚽,
68', 2 - 4, ⚽,
78', 3 - 4, ⚽,
83', 4 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Madureira U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botafogo U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Botafogo U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Madureira U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Madureira U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madureira U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
13.09.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Madureira U20	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Madureira U20 - Fluminense U20	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Madureira U20	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Madureira U20 - Bangu U20	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Maricá U20 - Madureira U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTWL
- Botafogo RJ U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
13.09.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Boavista SC U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Fluminense U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
13.10.24	Botafogo RJ U20 - Madureira U20	1:0
05.10.24	Madureira U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	2:1
01.09.24	Botafogo RJ U20 - Madureira U20	4:1

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