The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama U20 70.3%
Draw 18.9%
Madureira U20 10.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.9%
20.9%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.4%
18.8%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama U20's performance.
Madureira U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira U20 than the current prediction. (+2%)
Vasco da Gama U20 - Madureira U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 3-2.
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 7th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 5.
Vasco U20 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Madureira U20 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, Vasco U20 enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Vasco U20 has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:6 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vasco U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:4 goals (averaging 2.8:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Vasco da Gama U20 - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 64.87%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
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